An insight to the world of sports betting. My thoughts and picks for week. Lets make money together!! Hopefully I can earn your trust and you will come here for tips and just trust my picks and predictions. I feel sports betting should never be done to make money, but rather a way of entertainment and the possibility of making a lot of money. Don't put to much stock into sports betting. Don't bet money you should be spending somewhere else. And not neglect your family to watch sporting events. But if you can fit it in around your family. Live it up and realize the possibility of striking it rich. Good luck!! My opinions and picks for a certain game will always proceed the the header MONEYLINE COVERS -.

Sunday, September 30, 2012

MIAMI @ ARIZONA

THE STORY: The Arizona Cardinals attempt to remain undefeated as they host the Miami Dolphins on Sunday. Arizona is one of only three teams with a perfect record after three weeks, joining Houston and Atlanta. The Cardinals have not begun a season with four straight victories since 1974, when they still were located in St. Louis. Miami is coming off an overtime loss at home to the New York Jets. Dan Carpenter missed a 48-yard field goal in the extra session before New York booted a 33-yarder to win. The Dolphins and Cardinals are meeting for only the 11th time, with Arizona winning the last two matchups after losing the first eight. The Cardinals rolled to a 31-10 victory on Sept. 14, 2008 in the most recent meeting.
TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Cardinals -5.5, O/U 39.
ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (1-2): Running back Reggie Bush is questionable after suffering a sprained ligament in his left knee last week against the Jets. Bush, who underwent an MRI that revealed no structural damage, is averaging 6.0 yards per carry. Rookie quarterback Ryan Tannehill is last in the league after three weeks with a 58.3 passer rating. Defensive end Cameron Wake is two sacks away from becoming the seventh member of the Dolphins to reach the 30-sack plateau.
ABOUT THE CARDINALS (3-0): Arizona may have some reinforcement for Sunday as safety Adrian Wilson and tight end Todd Heap could return from injuries. Wilson missed last week's victory over Philadelphia with an ankle injury while Heap sat out with a bad knee. Wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald was named the NFC Offensive Player of the Week after hauling in nine passes for 114 yards and a touchdown. The Cardinals have won seven consecutive home games, two shy of the franchise record set in 1925, when the club called Chicago home.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. The Cardinals are tied for second in the league with 12 sacks and have recorded at least two in an NFL-best nine consecutive games.
2. With 205 receiving yards, Fitzgerald will become the second player ever to surpass 10,000 yards before the age of 30, joining Randy Moss.
3. Arizona has won 10 of its last 12 games, with four triumphs coming in overtime and five more being decided by less than five points.

MONELINE COVERS - Another game that I am afraid to bet on. All signs point to Arizona but it just seems like it is not gona go that way. Kevin Kolb and John Skeleton just did not look good all preseason. How long can they just keep rolling. There D is superb but I just feel the quarterback play is gona suffer and due to blow up. I would not touch this game. But if I were to bet it I would go Miami plus the 6 points.

SEATTLE @ ST. LOUIS

 PREVIEW

THE STORY: Fresh off a tainted Monday night victory over Green Bay, the Seattle Seahawks attempt to continue their dominance of the St. Louis Rams when the NFC West rivals square off at the Edward Jones Dome. Seattle received a gift from the replacement officials on Monday, when they ruled Golden Tate hauled in a 24-yard pass from Russell Wilson in the end zone on the final play of the game, even though it was evident Green Bay's M.D. Jennings has possession for the interception.
The controversial play was all the rage on sports television and radio shows, and ultimately led to the NFL's agreement to a new deal Wednesday with its regular officials, who returned to calling games beginning Thursday night. The Seahawks look to open a season at 3-1 for the first time since 2007 as they try for their fourth consecutive win over the Rams and 14th in 15 meetings. St. Louis' lone victory in that span came on Oct. 3, 2010, when it posted a 20-3 triumph at home.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Rams +2.5. O/U: 39
ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (2-1): Seattle's defense was superb on Monday, especially in the first half, when it limited Green Bay to 87 total yards and sacked Aaron Rodgers eight times. Defensive end Chris Clemons tied the NFL record for sacks in the first half as he recorded a career-high four. Clemons matched the mark set in 1992 by Kansas City linebacker Derrick Thomas. Defensive tackle Brandon Mebane also set a career high with a pair of sacks. The Seahawks are yielding a league-low 13.0 points per game and lead the NFL with 39 points allowed.
ABOUT THE RAMS (1-2): Quarterback Sam Bradford could be in for a rough afternoon. Seattle's pass rush figures to create fits for Bradford, who was sacked six times in last week's loss to Chicago. St. Louis is the only team yet to force a fumble this season. Running back Steven Jackson gained only 29 yards on 11 carries against the Bears as he battled a groin injury. Jackson did not practice on Wednesday.
EXTRA POINTS:
1. Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch is second in the league with 72 carries and leads the NFC with 305 rushing yards.
2. Rams WR Danny Amendola is tied for third in the NFL with 296 yards and trails Minnesota's Percy Harvin by two for the league lead with 25 receptions.
3. The Seahawks have won six of their last seven trips to St. Louis.

MONEYLINE COVERS - Do not feel to good about either team here. Probably won't bet it. I can see it going either way. Just bet it if you want to roll the dice and you have money to play with. If I were to bet it I would probably go Seattle -3 but like I said I do not feel good about it and probably won't touch it.

MINNESOTA @ DETROIT

 PREVIEW

The Detroit Lions should have quarterback Matthew Stafford under center when they host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. Stafford, who is coming off his only injury-free season, left last week's 44-41 overtime loss at Tennessee in the fourth quarter with a strained leg muscle. Backup Shaun Hill performed admirably, but the Lions need their franchise quarterback healthy if they are to entertain thoughts of reaching the playoffs for the second straight season after an 11-year drought. The Vikings are coming off a 24-13 victory over NFC power San Francisco and will try to exploit a Lions' defense which has allowed 94 points in three games. Detroit has won the last three meetings - all by seven points or less.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Lions -5.5, O/U 47

ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2-1): Second-year quarterback Christian Ponder is off to a fast start, completing 70.1 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and a 104.9 rating. He'll have another weapon to throw to as speedster Jerome Simpson makes his season and Vikings' debut Sunday. Simpson, who was suspended the first three games for violating the league's substance abuse policy, will complement Percy Harvin, who leads the league with 27 receptions. Adrian Peterson appears to be picking up speed after ACL surgery on his left knee. He has 230 yards this season, including 86 on a season-high 25 carries last week. The defense has allowed only 59 points and has registered seven sacks.

ABOUT THE LIONS (1-2): Stafford practiced this week and appears healthy enough to play. The Vikings, though, will still have to prepare for a traditional pocket passer in Stafford and a mobile quarterback in Hill. Minnesota, though, knows which wide receiver is healthy and at the top of his game. Calvin Johnson has 24 catches for a league-leading 369 yards and a touchdown, and should be a force no matter who is throwing him the ball. Detroit RB Mikel LeShoure rushed for 100 yards and a score in his NFL debut last week. He missed the first two games for violating the league's substance abuse policy and all of 2011 with an Achilles' injury. Detroit hasn't lost three straight since 2010.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Lions starting DT Corey Williams had knee surgery this week and will not play. Williams had a sack in each of Detroit's first two games.

2. Vikings DE Jared Allen, who has an NFL-best 106 sacks since entering the league in 2004, had three sacks in each of the two meetings in 2011.

3. The Lions haven't beaten the Vikings four straight times since 1961-63.

MONEYLINE COVERS - This is another game where I do not feel all that great about the line. I am on the Detroit side of things though. Just don't want to take them at -4. But will take them to win staight up. This is a division game and Detroit is on a two game losing streak and just off a overtime loss to Tennessee. Feel very good about the home team winning here. Take Detroit to win straight up. I am.

CAROLINA @ ATLANTA

 PREVIEW

The Atlanta Falcons haven't endured so much as a hiccup this season while the Carolina Panthers were left gasping for air after a woeful prime-time performance. Matt Ryan and the Falcons will look to continue their torrid play when they welcome their NFC South rivals to the Georgia Dome on Sunday. With a league-best 114.0 passer rating and eight touchdowns to his credit, Ryan has Atlanta vying for its first 4-0 start since the 2004 season.
While the reviews have been positively glowing in the Peach State, such is not the case for Cam Newton. The former Heisman Trophy winner has come under fire after he was visibly sulking during the Panthers' nationally televised 36-7 home loss to the New York Giants on Sept. 20. Wideout Steve Smith took issue with the scene, causing a well-publicized exchange between the two.
TV: 1 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Falcons -7, O/U: 48.5
ABOUT THE PANTHERS (1-2): Newton has also taken shots at home, as the Charlotte Observer ran a cartoon mocking the quarterback's "Superman" celebration. The newspaper instead put Newton's likeness in a "Hello Kitty" T-shirt, with the words "I like to pretend there's a big 'S' on my chest." Newton's troubles may only get worse when he visits the Falcons, who intercepted him three times in his only foray to Atlanta last season. With Smith likely being shadowed by cornerback Asante Samuel, Brandon LaFell and tight end Greg Olsen will need to carve out some room in the Falcons' secondary.
ABOUT THE FALCONS (3-0): While Ryan and his three-pronged attack of Julio Jones, Roddy White and future Hall of Famer Tony Gonzalez grab the headlines, Atlanta's defense has been the backbone to its success. The Falcons have produced 11 takeaways - including a league-best plus-10 ratio. Safety Thomas DeCoud led the charge with two interceptions and a fumble recovery in the Falcons' 27-3 dismantling of San Diego last week.
EXTRA POINTS
1. The Falcons have won the last four meetings and 22 of 34 overall between the two division rivals.
2. Carolina's 27th-ranked rush defense will need to contend with Michael Turner, who has gouged the Panthers for an average of 104 yards and scored 11 touchdowns during a seven-game span.
3. Atlanta's John Abraham was arrested on Monday and charged with two counts of obstruction for interfering with officers and firefighters. Despite the charge, Abraham is expected to play on Sunday.

MONEYLINE COVERS - Atlanta is favored by a touchdown. Do not feel good enough about it to take the - 7. But am definitely not taking the Panthers +7. So I feel very good about Atlanta and the moneyline. I am not a big fan of Cam Newton and think he is overrated. But like I said I am not taking the line but feel mighty confident about Atlanta winning straight up. So if you want to bet a little more money on Atlanta to just win I think It is a good bet. I will probably just parlay them into another bet. Take Atlanta to just win is wise!

TENNESSEE @ HOUSTON

PREVIEW
If it weren't for Monday night's fiasco in Seattle, the entire league would still be talking about the wild finish between the Tennessee Titans and Detroit Lions. Tennessee notched its first win of the season despite blowing a 14-point lead in the final 20 seconds of play. Securing their second victory won't be easy when the Titans visit the powerhouse Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium on Sunday. The Texans, off to a 3-0 start, appear to be the class of the league and have been dominant on both sides of the ball.

Houston won seven games in a row last season and should expect to control the ball vs. the Titans, who've allowed a league-high 37.7 ppg. Led by Arian Foster, the Texans have rushed for an average of 150 yards a game, the same total the Titans have allowed. Foster leads the NFL in carries and QB Matt Schaub threw four scoring passes last week, proving the Texans are among the most complete teams in the league.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Texans -12, O/U 45
 ABOUT THE TITANS (1-2): While the Titans are baffled by the lack of success that star running back Chris Johnson has had, they have to be pleased with the progress of second-year quarterback Jake Locker, who had his best day as a pro in last week's wild overtime victory. Locker threw for 378 yards in the 44-41 win over the Lions. Johnson's woes have lasted for over a year now but he certainly has bottomed out. CJ2K has just 45 yards on the ground in three games and it's tough to blame the offensive line. They may not be opening holes for Johnson but they've allowed just two sacks on the season, both of which came in the season opener. WR Kenny Britt is questionable with an ankle injury.

ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-0): How tough is Schaub? The QB lost a piece of his ear on a crushing blow delivered by the Broncos' Joe Mays in last week's game yet missed only one play. Two of his touchdown passes against the Broncos came from over 50 yards. The Texans are 3-0 for the first time in franchise history. Foster has gone over 100 yards in both of his last two games. Coach Gary Kubiak is just 4-8 all-time against the Titans, who have won three of the last five in the series. 

EXTRA POINTS
1. Tennessee won at Texas 23-22 on the final game in last year's regular season finale, but the Texans had already clinched a playoff spot and were forced to use third-string QB T.J. Yates.

2. Houston DE J.J. Watt leads the AFC with 5.5 sacks.

3.Houston is third in the league in scoring defense at 14.0 ppg.

MONEYLINE COVER - I am going with Tennessee +12.5. You should to. Sometimes you got to go with the trends. Yeah it seems like Houston is the better team and will easily cover. But you gotta go with your gut and the trends of things. I am locking Tennessee in at +12.5. Just off of a gut feeling.

NEW ENGLAND @ BUFFALO

After squandering a nine-point lead in the final four minutes of a 31-30 loss at Baltimore last week, the New England Patriots find themselves with a losing record for the first time since they dropped the opening game of the 2003 season (they recovered to win the Super Bowl that year.) New England looks to climb back to .500 on Sunday at Buffalo against a Bills' team it has owned for the past decade. The Patriots have won 21 of the last 23 meetings between the AFC East rivals.
One of those losses came in New England's last visit to western New York, however, as the Bills recorded four interceptions and defeated the Patriots 34-31 on Rian Lindell's 28-yard field goal as time expired. Once again, there are questions about the Patriots' defense as they surrendered 503 yards against the Ravens. New England has not started 1-3 since 2001, Bill Belichick's second season. The Patriots are also looking to avoid their first three-game losing streak since 2002. Buffalo improved to 2-1 with a 24-14 victory over Cleveland. Third-string RB Tashard Choice ran for 91 yards on 20 carries last week after C.J. Spiller, who had been the NFL's leading rusher, went down with a shoulder injury. Spiller had been filling in for Fed Jackson, who suffered a knee injury in the opener against the Jets, but Jackson hopes to return this weekend.

TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Patriots -4, O/U 51.5
ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (1-2): Tom Brady has an 18-2 career mark against the Bills with 46 touchdowns and 17 interceptions. In last's season game at Buffalo, wide receiver Wes Welker had career highs in catches (16) and receiving yards (217) and tied a career best with two TD receptions. Welker (6,356) needs 11 yards to surpass Troy Brown (6,366) for second on the team's all-time list. The Patriots were able to generate little pressure last week against Joe Flacco and the lack of a strong pass rush may be another concern. New England only has three sacks, the second-fewest in the league, and is giving up 262 yards per game through the air, the 11th-worst mark in the AFC. Tight end Rob Gronkowski has 22 receptions for 314 yards and seven TDs in four career games against the Bills, and the Patriots may look to get him more involved in the offense after he had only two catches for 21 yards last week. But they will be facing defensive ends Mario Williams and Mark Anderson, who signed as free agents with the Bills. Anderson played with the Patriots last year.

ABOUT THE BILLS (2-1): Despite the injuries to Jackson and Spiller, the Bills are averaging 178 rushing yards per game on the ground, the second-best mark in the AFC. Buffalo is seeking its second straight 3-1 start. Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick may be sorry to see September end as it seems to be his favorite
month. Fitzpatrick has thrown an NFL-high eight touchdown passes after tossing nine in three September games last year to earn AFC Offensive Player of the Month. However, he struggled in October a year ago and threw just seven TD passes in his next seven games. In six September games over the last two seasons, Buffalo is 5-1 while averaging an NFL-best 33.3 points per game. The Bills released veteran punter Brian Moorman earlier in the week and signed rookie Shawn Powell.

EXTRA POINTS
1. With 193 career wins, Belichick needs one to pass Chuck Knox for eighth on the all-time list.
2. Brady (40,866) needs 57 passing yards to surpass Kerry Collins (40,922) for 11th all-time. He has thrown TD passes in 35 consecutive games, the fourth-longest streak in NFL history.

3. Fitzpatrick is looking to join Joe Ferguson (1975) and Jim Kelly (1992) as the only players in franchise history to throw multiple TDs in each of the first four games of the season.
PREDICTION: Patriots 28, Bills 24

MONEYLINE COVER -  MY PICK IS NE -4. New England is has lost two in a row. Odds of three in a row just seems mighty unlikely. Take NE -4.